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Ghost of the Estimate
On 24 January 1878, the “Analysis of Flying Object Incidents in the United States”, Study #203, is prepared by the USAF Directorate of Intelligence (“DI”) and the Office of Naval Intelligence. (Commonly referred to, controversially, as “the Ghost of the Estimate”. Also referred to as “Air Intelligence Report No. 100-203-79”).

 

 

 

 

Sections below

1. Web Resources

2. Book References

3. Other material

 

Web Resources

There is a rapid turnover of UFO material on the Internet. Many links to material on UFO websites quickly become out of date. Therefore, instead of giving many links to specific webpages I have instead included below a search box which can be used to search various leading UFO websites at the same time. You can then click on tabs at the top of the search results to list only results from forums, only results from websites I have labelled as "skeptical" etc. I have included tabs for a couple of specific websites that I find particularly useful, including the valuable archives of the UFO UpDates email discussion List. The relevant websites are all listed in the discussion of the "UFO Searchillion" search engine in Section 2.4 of the "Free UFO Researcher Starter Pack" and continues to evolve...

 

The relevant search box is one of the two main tools on this website which are intended to help reduce the amount of reinvention of the wheel within UFOlogy. The other main tool is the collection of tables of references to discussion of UFO incidents, personalities and other matters in various books. Those tables can be sorted by author, length and date. I hope these tools are useful.

 

 

 

Book References

Image of document presented by Stone, Clifford E in his “UFOs are Real“ (1997) as Document 1-1a to 1-1ee on the unnumbered pages after page 10 (in Chapter 1) of the SPI softcover edition.

Image of selected pages presented by Hall, Michael David and Connors, Wendy Ann in their “Captain Edward J Ruppelt : Summer of the Saucers - 1952” (2000) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at pages 260-264 (in Appendix 1) of the Rose Press softcover edition.

The table below includes references to relevant discussions in UFO/SETI books noted by Isaac Koi during a review of approximately 963 UFO/SETI books during the period 2003-2006 (with a few later additions). The table can be sorted by author, date and length of discussion by clicking on the relevant word in the top line of the table.

Many of the tables of references on this website are considerably longer than the references to books found on most other UFO websites. Indeed, some are probably the longest that have been collated in relation to some events and personalities. Together with the "UFO Searchillion" search box, I hope that these tables are found to be a useful contribution to UFOlogy.

For discussion of the “Ghost of the Estimate” see the following:

 

Year

Discussion by:

 

No. of Pages

1997

Aldrich, Jan in articles online at:

http://www.project1947.com/fig/1948back.htm

http://www.virtuallystrange.net/ufo/updates/1997/feb/m01-014.shtml

http://www.virtuallystrange.net/ufo/updates/1997/feb/m01-016.shtml

http://www.virtuallystrange.net/ufo/updates/1997/feb/m01-015.shtml

http://www.virtuallystrange.net/ufo/updates/1998/nov/m03-005.shtml

5

1990

Blum, Howard in his “Out There“ (1990) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at pages 64-65 (in Chapter 6) of the Simon & Schuster hardback edition, at page 58 of the Pocket Star paperback edition.

2

1997

Corso, Philip J with Birnes, William J in their “The Day After Roswell” (1997) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at pages 68-69 (in Chapter 5) of the Pocket Books paperback edition.

2

1997

Devereux, Paul and Brookesmith, Peter in their “UFOs and Ufology – the first 50 years” (1997) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at page 24 (in Chapter 1) of the Blandford softcover edition.

1

2000

Dolan, Richard M in his “UFOs and the National Security State: Volume 1: 1941-1973” (2000) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at pages 109-110 (in Chapter 3) of the Keyhole softcover edition, at pages 61, 64-65 of the 2002 revised Hampton Road softcover edition.

2

1990

Fowler, Raymond E in his “The Watchers“ (1990) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at pages 70-71 (in Chapter 5) of the Bantam paperback edition.

2

2008

Friedman, Stanton in his “Flying Saucers and Science : A Scientist Investigates the Mysteries of UFOs” (2008) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at page 46 (in Chapter 1), 116 (in Chapter 4) of the New Page softcover edition.

2

1992

Friedman, Stanton and Berliner, Don in their “Crash at Corona” (1992) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at page 27 (in Chapter 3) of the 1997 Marlowe Company softback edition.

1

1987

Good, Timothy in his “Above Top Secret” (1987) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at page 257 (in Chapter 11) , with partial image at pages 476-477 (in the Appendix), of the Sidgwick & Jackson hardback edition (with the same page numbering in the Guild Publishing hardback edition and the Grafton paperback edition).

3

1996

Good, Timothy in his “Beyond Top Secret” (1996) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at page 320 (in Chapter 14), with partial image at page 321, of the Sidgwick & Jackson hardback edition (with the same page numbering in the Pan paperback edition).

2

2000

Hall, Michael David and Connors, Wendy Ann in their “Captain Edward J Ruppelt : Summer of the Saucers - 1952” (2000) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at pages 7-8, 15 (in Chapter 1), 124 (in Chapter 4), with select pages presented at pages 260-264 (in Appendix 1) of the Rose Press softcover edition.

4

1999

Hall, Michael David in his “UFOs : A Century of Sightings” (1999) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at pages 108, 137 (in Chapter 3) of the Galde Press softcover edition.

2

1997

Klass, Philip J in his “The Real Roswell Crashed-Saucer Coverup” (1997) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at pages 61-62 (in Chapter 7), 176 (in Chapter 22), 206-207 (in Chapter 26), 220-221 (in Chapter 28) of the Prometheus Books hardback edition.

7

2001

Kottmeyer, Martin S in “The Encyclopedia of Extraterrestrial Encounters” (2001) (edited by Ronald Story) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at pages 461-462 (in an entry entitled “Reconnaissance Theory of UFOs”) of the New American Library softcover edition, at page 451 of the pdf edition (with the same page numbering in the Microsoft Word edition).

2

2001

Kottmeyer, Martin S in “The Mammoth Encyclopedia of Extraterrestrial Encounters” (2001) (edited by Ronald Story) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at page 555 (in an entry entitled “Reconnaissance Theory of UFOs”) of the Robinson softcover edition.

1

1998

Maccabee, Bruce in an article online:

http://www.virtuallystrange.net/ufo/updates/1998/oct/m31-006.shtml

1

2000

Maccabee, Bruce in his “UFO-FBI Connection” (2000) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at pages 48-53 (in Chapter 5) of the Llewellyn softcover edition.

6

1999

Matthews, Tim in his “UFO Revelation” (1999) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at pages 56-57, 59, 60 (in Chapter 4) of the Blandford softcover edition.

4

2001

Pflock, Karl T in his “Roswell: Inconvenient Facts and the Will to Believe” (2001) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at page 188 (in Chapter 15) of the Prometheus hardback edition.

1

1997

Randle, Kevin and Estes, Russ in their “Spaceships of the Visitors” (1997) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at pages 64-66 (in Part 3) of the Fireside softcover edition.

3

2000

Randle, Kevin in his “The Roswell Encyclopedia” (2000) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at pages 3-5 (in an entry entitled “Air Intelligence Report No. 100-203-79”), 311-312 (in an entry entitled “The Real Roswell Crashed-Saucer Coverup by Philip J Klass”) of the Quill softcover edition.

5

1998

Randle, Kevin, with extensive extract, in his “Project Moon Dust” (1998) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at pages 12-20 (in Chapter 1), 264-267 (in Appendix B) of the Avon softcover edition.

13

1998

Redfern, Nicholas in his “The FBI Files” (1998) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at pages 3-4 (in the Introduction) of the Simon & Schuster softcover edition, with the same page numbering in the Pocket Books paperback edition.

2

1986

Steinman, William and Stevens, Wendelle in their “UFO Crash at Aztec” (1986) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at page 119 of the Wendelle Stevens hardback edition.

1

1998

Stewart, Ed in an article online at:

http://www.virtuallystrange.net/ufo/updates/1998/nov/m01-008.shtml

1

1997

Stone, Clifford E in his “UFOs are Real“ (1997) (available on Amazon USA and on Amazon UK) at pages 2-3, 6 (in Chapter 1) with image of document presented as Document 1-1a to 1-1ee on the unnumbered pages after page 10 (in Chapter 1) of the SPI softcover edition.

3

 

Other Material

Please use the comments section below to share references to any particularly interesting relevant articles.